17 March 2008

The Ten States Most Likely to Reverse Their '04 Vote

This analysis recently in the Washington Post shows which states are most likely to switch their '04 general election presidential vote this time around. The report shows the Democrats likely to pick up Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Missouri, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, and Florida. The Republicans could gain Minnesota and New Hampshire. This would swing 97 electoral votes Democratic and but 14 to the GOP. All things remaining equal, the projection would be then 335 electoral votes for the Democratic nominee and 203 for Arizona US Senator John McCain. I can see numbers like this at this point today if it is Obama v McCain, but nothing like this if it ends up being Clinton v McCain.
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