06 February 2008

McCain Moves Closer to GOP Presidential Nomination

Arizona US Senator John McCain moved closer to securing the Republican Party nomination for president after results were compiled in the 21 state Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses. McCain won several key large states, including California, New York, and Missouri, as the nine states won by McCain gave him an estimated 568 delegates for the day, giving a new estimated total of 680, more than one-half of 1,191 needed for nomination. Willard Mitt Romney won his two home states of Massachusetts and Utah and a few lightly attended GOP caucuses in the northern Rockies and Northern Plains for 176 estimated delegates and a new estimated total of 27o delegates. Upstart former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee won five states, all in the South, for 147 estimated new delegates and an estimated new total of 176. Some of the Super Tuesday delegates have yet to have been allocated, so totals will change in the coming days before the next round of caucuses on Saturday in Kansas, Louisiana, and Washington.

McCain's strength in GOP states that are populous and diverse is a significant factor that ensures his eventual nomination. Romney has yet to win a significant sized state outside of his home turf of MA, MI, and UT other than some insignificant caucuses in small states. Huckabee seemingly is a regional candidate, with support in the South and other small states where religious zealots make up a fair number of voters.

It may take McCain a little longer, but he inevitably win win the GOP nomination. Look for heavy campaigning by the Arizonan in upcoming primaries in Virginia, Maryland, Washington, Wisconsin, Ohio, Texas, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Texas to get things wrapped up as soon as possible.
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